Do We Know What The Middle Eastern Revolutions Are All About?
© 27 February, 2011
Pirate Joe

        The spirit of revolution is alive and well in the Middle East, as well it should be. Yet I hear pundits postulate that the big political winner in all of this will be (Ahmadinejad's) Iran.
        Iran? Let me get this straight; Iran? To my point of view, anyone who says this is either intentionally spreading dis-information or just hasn't been paying attention in class. I would hold just the opposite: Iran (Ahmadinejad's) will be among the biggest losers.
        Let's take an analytical look at what's been going on.
        People in the Middle East have been demonstrating against dictatorships, not just dictators. The fact that a particular dictator gets the focus of attention is because he just happens to be there, and this should not obscure the fact that it's that type of government these folks want to be rid of, the dictator himself is mostly (but not completely) symbolic. To prove my point, ask yourself this question: if Gadhafi had just left at the beginning of the revolution, and handed the reins of power over to a new, unknown dictator, do you think that Lybians would have collectively said: "oh, O.K. he's gone, that works for me, let's go home"? Not by a long shot. These people want freedom. They want government that rules by the consent of the governed. They want democracy, and that is indeed exactly what they've been calling for.
        Have you seen any pictures of demonstrators carrying a portrait of some ayatollah or other? No. Heard any demands for an Islamic Republic? No. Any calls for an Iranian-style government or constitution? No.
        Those people have thought, marched, fought, bled and even died for their revolutions and democracy. Do you really think that they would do this just to exchange a brutal, autocratic dictatorship for a brutal, autocratic theocracy? It makes no sense.
        Yes, Ahmadinejad has praised the revolutions. He'd better. Remember, his government just survived a revolution of it's own (which he brutally suppressed). He, (Ahmadinejad) may display a wacky, out of touch demeanour to the world, but don't think for one minute that he isn't also very shrewd and cunning. He's no fan of revolution, and he doesn't want to play that game again. He's felt that little breeze once more and watched the weather vane move ever so slightly. But don't fool yourselves: he doesn't need a weather vane to know which way the wind blows or he wouldn't be in power right now. All this pro-revolution posturing is just an attempt to get out in front of it and head it off at the pass. It's the only thing he can do. The winds of change and revolution are blowing strong across the Middle East now, and it's obvious that his government will not win this time. He's just whistling as he walks through the graveyard at midnight on Halloween, and he knows it.
        Does anyone think that all the Iranians who demonstrated by the tens of thousands after the stolen election have come to realise that they were wrong and that they really have a superb government after all? I don't think so. Iranians are a bright, sophisticated people who also want freedom. Their plans are inchoate now, but they will come to fruition: sooner rather than later.
        The present Iranian régime (and al-Qaeda for that matter) just don't have the products the revolutionaries want to buy: freedom and democracy. They will not be looking towards Iran as either a model or a leader, they will be looking towards Iran only to watch its government fall.